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USDA International Egg and Poultry


29 May 2013

USDA International Egg and Poultry: JapanUSDA International Egg and Poultry: Japan

It has been two years since the outbreaks of highly pathogenic avian Influenza (HPAI ) in early 2011 and the Great East Japan Earthquake and tsunami of March 2011.
USDA International Egg and Poultry

Japan

Broiler meat production recovered in 2012, increasing 6.5% over 2011. This year broiler meat production is expected to decline slightly compared to the previous year. Broiler meat imports were strong in 2011 due to shortages of domestic broiler production; imports fell 2.1% in 2012 and are expected to drop an additional 1.8% in 2013 compared to 2012.

Japan: Broiler Production and Imports* in Calendar Years Thousand Metric Tons

Source: Foreign Agricultural Service, Official USDA Estimates

Estimated broiler stocks grew throughout 2011, exceeding 2010 levels for every month starting in May. Broiler stocks continued to be above year ago levels until November 2012, when broiler stocks fell to 145,932 MT. In 2013 broiler stocks have been lower compared to 2012, but still higher than 2010 and 2011.

Japan: Estimated Monthly Broiler Ending Stocks

Source: ALIC Monthly Statistics

Broiler Meat Supply in Fiscal Years (April – March)

Source: ALIC Monthly Statistics
Sources: MAFF, "Meat Marketing Statistics", Ministry of Finance,"
Japan Exports and Imports"
Notes: Bone in cuts equivalent. Figures for stocks and production (2010?) are estimated by ALIC.

As ending stocks rose, the Tokyo wholesale price for legs fell,resulting in high priced inventories. The wholesale price of broiler legs in the Tokyo market was 707 yen/kg in January 2011, up 5% from 674 yen/kg in January 2010. By January 2012 prices were down 11% from the same month a year earlier, and in January 2013 prices were only 642 yen/kg.

Wholesale Broiler Leg Price, Tokyo Market

Source: ALIC Monthly Statistics

Brazil is the major supplier of frozen poultry meat, accounting for 90% of raw poultry imports in 2012. The United States had a 7% share of imports. China and Thailand are the major suppliers of processed poultry meat, accounting for 41% and 34% respectively.

Japan Poultry Meat Imports HS 0207, in Metric Tons

Source: Ministry of Finance Japan, Trade Statistics of Japan

Japan Poultry Meat Imports HS 1601-1602, in metric tons

Source: Ministry of Finance Japan, Trade Statistics of Japan

Japan's Livestock and Poultry Population (Unit: 1,000 heads)

Source: USDA FAS GAIN Reports JA 1007;USDA AMS Market News International Egg and Poultry Review, May 3, 2011

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