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USDA GAIN: Poultry and Products


06 March 2014

USDA GAIN: EU-28 Poultry and Products Semi-annual 2014USDA GAIN: EU-28 Poultry and Products Semi-annual 2014

EU-28 broiler meat production forecasts for 2014 have been revised upward slightly from previous estimates. Higher production expected mainly in Benelux, Germany, the United Kingdom, and Romania will more than offset lower forecasts in France and Spain. Consumer switching from other meats to broiler meat in a recession-stricken EU-28 region will increase the EU-28 domestic consumption of broiler meat in 2014. EU-28 broiler meat import forecasts are now expected to remain flat in 2014 with stagnant imports from both Brazil and Thailand. EU-28 broiler meat exports in 2014 are expected to decline slightly, due to the elimination of EU-28 exports subsidies in mid-2013 that will hurt French exports of whole broilers to the Middle East.

USDA GAIN: Poultry and Products

Commodities:

Poultry, Meat, Broiler

Production:

EU-28 broiler meat production forecasts for 2014 have been revised upward slightly from previous estimates, with higher production expected mainly in Benelux (driven by increased exports of broiler parts), Germany, UK and Romania more than offsetting lower forecasts in France (driven by declining exports of whole birds since the end of EU Exports subsidy in July 2013). Spanish forecasts have also been revised downward to reflect newly available data.

Consumption:

The EU-28 domestic consumption of broiler meat is still foreseen to increase in 2014 slightly more than total population growth, indicating a small increase in per-capita consumption due to the switch from other meats to broiler meat (cheaper and more convenient) in a recession-stricken EU-28 region.

Trade:

After a small decline in 2013 due to smaller imports from Brazil and Thailand, broiler meat imports forecasts are now expected to remain flat in 2014. EU-28 imports of prepared, preserved and processed broiler parts (HS code 160232) are down due to economic crisis in the EU-28 region.

EU-28 broiler meat exports in 2014 are now expected to be negatively impacted by the EU-28 Commission’s decision in July 2013 to end exports restitutions. Exports of whole broilers (mainly from France to Saudi Arabia and Middle-East countries) are likely to be down by 5 to 10 percent. This decline should be not be fully offset by increased exports of broilers parts (mainly from the Benelux region but also from France and Poland) to Africa (South Africa, Benin, Ghana).

March 2014

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