China white broiler production growth slows - GAIN

Forecast for yellow broiler production remains stable
calendar icon 5 March 2025
clock icon 1 minute read

Post maintains its forecast for slight growth in chicken meat production in 2025 but at a smaller growth rate from the revised estimate for 2024, according to a recent US Department of Agriculture (USDA) Global Agricultural Information Network (GAIN) report.

The forecast for yellow broiler production in 2025 remains stable, but the expansion of white broiler production has slowed. Producers are responding to demand for chicken meat, particularly for white broilers, by increasing production.

The USDA post in China revised upwards its chicken meat production estimate for 2024 as sources indicate that both large- and small-scale producers increased white broiler production in 2024. Large-scale producers, often integrated producers, expanded production at higher rates than smaller producers. Due to increased sales, economies of scale, market share, and decreased feed costs, some publicly listed producers reported strong performances in their 2024 annual reports and plan to continue expanding production in 2025 to gain market share.

Chicken meat prices in 2024 declined as production outpaced consumption. Some smaller producers with lower production efficiencies operated at a loss. 

Lower profits and business losses in 2024 appear to be discouraging these producers from expanding production in 2025. Most facilities scheduled to become operational in 2025 are broiler slaughter and chicken processing facilities. The number of new breeding facilities is small.

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