China Broiler Market Weekly
CHINA - In this weeks broiler report, eFeedLink say that the bird flu situation did not have significant influence on AA broiler prices in China in the week ending Nov 2.Price Summary
It only has a slightly greater impact on the prices of China breed broilers.
2. Market Analysis
There has been no bird flu outbreak in the provinces of Shandong and Liaoning. Both provinces rely mainly on local producers for their broiler supply and with stringent checks in place on the limited live bird imports, local consumers there are less worried. Thus, sales of broilers in these two provinces have only declined slightly. Meanwhile, as farmers had buy bought limited stocks of day-old mixed-breed chicks earlier, prices of mixed-breed broilers in Shandong has remained stable amid balanced supply and demand.
Although the bird flu has been effectively contained, bans on exports of poultry from affected provinces have not been lifted. Broiler prices in the neighbouring provinces have also been affected somewhat. In the provinces of Jiangsu and Henan, prices of fast growth broilers (49 days) have fallen sharply.
Bird flu in provinces such as Hunan and Anhui has affected broiler prices in the neighbouring provinces. The only exceptions were Guangdong province and Guangxi Zhuang AR, where broiler prices have picked up after earlier falls. This was due to the stringent controls on broiler imports in both regions and the lower broiler stocks held by farmers there who have clear most of their stocks in response to weaker demand in the earlier period. Broilers prices had ended higher amid limited supply.
Despite the falling broiler prices in various regions, there were signs that prices were on the recovery path in provinces such as Guangdong, Jiangsu, Shandong, Liaoning and Guangxi Zhuang AR now that the bird flu has been contained.
3. Market forecast
With the bird flu situation under control, broiler prices are likely to recover in the week ahead although substantial gains in prices are not likely.
Source: eFeedLink - 2nd November 2005