China's chicken imports to fall as output grows
Brazil retains top supplier spot
China's chicken meat imports are forecast to continue declining in 2027 as domestic production growth outpaces demand, according to the USDA Foreign Agricultural Service's annual poultry and products report for China.
The USDA also lowered its 2026 import estimate following weaker-than-expected imports in the first half of the year, driven by stronger-than-expected domestic production from large integrated poultry companies. Industry contacts reported that major importers plan to reduce purchases.
Chicken paw imports fell approximately 35% year on year during January to April 2026, dropping from 158,000 metric tons to 103,000 metric tons.
Brazil is expected to remain China's largest chicken meat supplier in 2027, followed by Russia and the United States. Although imports from all major suppliers declined in the first quarter of 2026, Brazil maintained a dominant market position and increased its share, supported by its scale, established trade relationships and broad product offering.
China restored poultry market access for products from 17 US states, representing about 25% of US production, effective May 15, 2026. However, the USDA said the restored access is not expected to materially affect China's overall declining chicken import trend.
Market access restrictions continue to affect some suppliers. Chilean imports remain suspended following highly pathogenic avian influenza detections, though Chile accounts for a small share of China's chicken imports. Several Thai processing establishments also remain suspended, though most approved Thai facilities retain market access.