Note: * Ratites only; ** Mexico approved to export only processed poultry products slaughtered under Federal inspection in the US or in a country eligible to export slaughtered poultry to the US; *** Cold Storage Facilities; **** Products harmonized by the EU; ***** People’s Republic of China

Source: USDA FSIS

Note: 2007 figures for January through August, while the remainders are for January through December.
Source: USDA FAS

Note: * Fresh, Chilled, or Frozen Meat; ** Meat and Other Preparations
Source: FAOSTAT
Data Copied: http://faostat.fao.org/site/537/DesktopDefault.aspx?PageID=537,
FAOSTAT, Statistics Division, Food and Agriculture Organization of the UN

Ukraine Poultry Situation

Despite avian influenza (AI) outbreaks in 2006, drought and small grain crops, declines in backyard production and price hikes, and government efforts to limit poultry imports through FEZ (Free Economic Zones) closures, Ukraine’s domestic poultry meat production has been significantly increasing over the past few years; however production is projected to level off somewhat in 2008. At present, domestic poultry meat production is unable to satisfy current demand, but is expected to meet 20-25% of it in 2008. As the poultry industry becomes more vertically integrated, Ukrainian producers are expected to fulfill all domestic demand for chilled poultry meat by the end of 2008 or later. Once domestic demand is met many plan to take over the processed product market where frozen imported poultry meat rules; however this portion of the market is dominated by imports from the US and the EU and is viewed as less profitable in comparison.

Ukrainian consumption of poultry meat will increase through 2007 and into 2008 as many consumers are gradually shifting away from traditional meats like pork and beef due to increasing red meat prices, the inefficiencies in Ukrainian beef and pork production, prohibitively high import duties for red meat, and increasing disposable incomes. Disposable incomes increased 28% in 2006.

2007 and 2008 trade forecasts are difficult to predict due to the recent September 30, 2007 parliamentary election for which results have been delayed by a legal challenge from the Communist party in a high court, and Ukraine’s accession efforts to the World Trade Organization (WTO). 2007 and 2008 poultry meat import estimates have been set at conservative levels (120,000 MT for 2008), but will change when domestic production increases taking away import market shares, import tariffs are decreased from 100-200% to reasonable and nonrestrictive levels in compliance with the WTO, and if the rival Party of Regions wins the election closing the FEZs. Once Ukraine enters the WTO, poultry will be allowed entry through other ports and border crossings, increasing access of imported meat to meat packers thus increasing competition, the number of importers, and quantity of product imported.
Source: USDA FAS/Various News Wires

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